Should the Bundesliga be worried about suffering ‘a Spanish situation’?

– it’s all coming together in one big, German dream this spring. For years, the Bundesliga had learned to feel happy about its largely unnoticed lot, like some provincial, discreet industrial tycoon. It had convinced itself that it didn’t need the praise of outsiders, that there was nothing to prove to the wider world. But now that recognition – nay, validation – has actually come in the shape of two clubs in the Champions League semi-finals for the very first time, it feels undeniably exciting, like a 15-year-old’s first, illicit visit to a “proper” nightclub, courtesy of a fake ID and painted-on stubble.



… The real problem, however, is that Bayern and Dortmund are so strong that they can field C teams and still pummel the domestic opposition (a 4-0 win over Nürnberg, a 6-1 at Fürth, respectively) with unnerving ease this season, and the league’s USP, its (relatively) egalitarian unpredictability, seems to have given way to La Liga-style duopoly of out-of-sight excellence. Hence the Spanish relations, or “a Spanish situation”.

Even Uli Hoeness, the man who once spoke of his wish to be so far ahead of the the pack that they would have to resort to using binoculars to catch a glimpse of Bayern’s behind, is suddenly a little distressed. “There’s a big difference in performance levels in the league,” the Reds president told Kicker. “We can’t be comfortable with that. We have to analyse why this is the case.” The 61-year-old added that results such as Bayern’s 9-2 destruction of Hamburg were unacceptable in the long run. “This calls for action,” he said. He revealed that he and the Dortmund CEO Hans-Joachim Watzke were talking about the matter.

The rest of the league is split into those who have always warned about the gap getting bigger and are now bemused by Hoeness’s foray (“it’s ridiculous, like putting the fox in charge of the henhouse,” said the Eintracht Frankfurt manager Heribert Bruchhagen), those who feel that it could actually be a lot worse if it wasn’t for centralised TV rights sales (the Hannover chairman Martin Kind) and those who believe the problem is simply overstated. “It’s just a snap shot, Dortmund’s success is too recent,” the Schalke 04 finance director, Peter Peters, told Süddeutsche Zeitung.

Peters is right, in a sense. Dortmund weren’t anywhere near the apex of the Bundesliga, let alone Europe, three years ago. And their financial power isn’t nearly as big as Bayern’s, whose turnover will come in at around €400m. The Black and Yellows’ turnover of approximately €250m for the current season is only slightly higher than Schalke’s in 2011-12 (€224m) – for example. Leverkusen, Stuttgart and Hamburg are all near the €100m mark – without Champions League football. Frankfurt, Düsseldorf and even Köln, currently in the second division, are big, well-supported clubs with the potential to grow into the next Dortmund one day as well.

The Bavarians’ 20 point-gap over last year’s double winners Borussia would suggest that the league’s main problem isn’t so much the dominance of two clubs but that of one, at least this season. The Reds had been underachieving, relative to their wealth over the last decade but have now, perhaps for the first time, performed exactly in line with their financial superiority. History suggests that this is an exception, rather than the rule, since they have always found ways to negate – or at a very minimum, mitigate – their off-pitch advantages in the past, be it through disastrous managerial appointments or a hit and miss transfer policy.

In 2012-13, however, the rest of the league have made all the mistakes. Dortmund (inadvertently) concentrated on the Champions League. Schalke made a managerial change halfway through the campaign and almost lost their way completely. Hamburg and Bremen are at best treading water through managerial incompetence. Stuttgart’s austerity drive has hurt them, Wolfsburg are still busy cleaning up the Felix Magath mess and Leverkusen are simply happy to be were they are.

Talking points

• Now that the trophy is on its way back to Munich, Bayern and Dortmund are locked in a battle of lowball poker – who can win with the weakest hand? On Saturday, the Bavarians dispatched in-form Nürnberg 4-0 with a side that had Emre Can, 19, and Anatoliy Tymoshchuk, 34, anchoring the midfield, while Dortmund cruised to a 6-1 win at Fürth with a strong team that ended up as a pretty experimental outfit by the time 90 minutes were up. José Mourinho was keeping a watchful eye in the Trolli-Arena but the BVB bosses seemed to feel he was in fact trolling them with his presence in such inauspicious surroundings. “I don’t know why he’s here, maybe he wants to show he’s preparing diligently,” sneered Watzke. “He could have called me,” said Klopp. “Nothing he gleaned from this game will be of any value in two weeks’ time.”

• The Dortmund manager also dominated the local agenda from top to bottom – literally. First, he admitted to a hair transplant in Bild (“It looks cool, doesn’t it?”), then he placed a risky wager: “I bet my arse that Matthias Sammer will talk to Pep Guardiola,” he said. The Bayern coach Jupp Heynckes had earlier taken great offence (“Please respect me and my team, I can prepare myself”) at a reporter’s suggestion that he may ask his predecessor for insight. This being Bayern – three people, four opinions – Franz Beckenbauer actually agreed (“of course they should ask Pep”), but chairman of the board Karl-Heinz Rummenigge toed the company line. “It would have been better for Klopp to bet his hair, as he has some more to transplant. But I fear his arse will end up in our museum.” Maybe it could be exhibited right next to Rummenigge’s infamous “Danke, Franz” poem from 2010, as blogger Klaas Reese (@Sportkultur) suggested.

Read why Germany is suddenly gripped by fear of Spanische Verhältnisseand a duopoly involving Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund

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